| Facing up to the coming resources crunch |
| Sunday, 30 March 2008 | |
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By Ron Leng
The world is faced with a triple crisis: climate change, peak oil and global resource depletion. These are interrelated and interactive problems which makes the subject extremely complex. The certainties are that there will be great changes to contend with in the future in order to produce and deliver food to maintain the present world population, let alone a balanced diet for everyone. At the present time there are roughly one billion people that are underfed and/or on imbalanced diets lacking essential micro nutrients that are provided by animal protein.
The dependency of the industrialized countries on oil to drive agricultural production and the fact that most of these same countries cannot meet their own domestic requirements from local resources has seen a headlong development of alternative fuels including bioethanol produced from sugar cane and maize mainly in Brazil and the USA, respectively; and development of bio diesel from plant oils. The implications for world food stocks and prices are enormous, potentially creating major cereal food /feed grain shortages as land is diverted to fuel production. The expectations are that world cereal grain availability for livestock will be highly restricted and the case is made for the forage-fed ruminant as a major source of animal protein for the future. Herbivores in general are likely to be used more extensively with time, particularly the rabbit with its dual capabilities of high reproduction rates and the capacity to utilize efficiently forage resources produced locally. Editor's Note: For permission to reproduce this article please contact ScienceAlert. Comments
(8)
written by
Clifford J. Wirth , March 30, 2008
Here is a real science alter on Peak Oil: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html
written by
Christopher Calder , March 31, 2008
Oil price increases have not shrunk the human food supply, but biofuel production has. The more biofuels we produce, the less food we have to eat, because we grow biofuel crops, even switchgrass, using the same land, water, fertilizer, farm equipment, and labor we use to grow food. Biofuel production accelerates global warming, creates water shortages, and erodes topsoil. A new study says biofuels from cellulose sources, such as switchgrass, wood chips, crop waste, etc., will never be cost effective.
See biofuel facts at - http://home.att.net/~meditation/bio-fuel-hoax.html
written by
Upali Magedaragamage , March 31, 2008
I wonder this will help the small farmers. The practice of providing huge subsidies to large farmers in Europe has crushed the small farmer in many Least Developed Countries. EU's agricultural subsidy regime is one of the biggest iniquities facing farmers in Africa and other developing counties. Meanwhile, governments of developing countries come under intense pressure from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund to scrap their own tariffs and subsidies as part of free trade rules.The Agro-economists in Europe will find a new solution to continue providing subsidies to larger scale agro-monopolies. Perhaps, with their patented seed monopolization.
written by
Lou Grinzo , April 01, 2008
My most recent presentation on peak oil, The Oil Crunch, is an introduction to the topic for mainstreamers, i.e. not energy geeks:
http://www.grinzo.com/energy/downloads/theoilcrunch09x20x2007.pdf
written by
Mike White , April 01, 2008
Lou,
Nice presentation. You touch upon most of the important points in a clear and effective manner. Two points that I think should be included are: Non-energy geeks and the media love to blame big oil corporations for high energy prices. The "Big Five" only produce a fraction of the world's petroleum. The majority is produced by state owned companies. Another point that should be made is the US's vulnerability to the Export Land Model (see westtexas's many posts and comments on the Oil Drum). Historically, countries that have gone through resource production peaks reduced the amount made available for export in order to satisfy internal demand. If this theory proves to be correct, we could see sharp declines in exports from the largest oil producers.
written by
Vivienne , April 01, 2008
The biggest problem we are facing is a growing population on a finite planet, with finite resources. We have 6.5 billion now, and it is predicted to be 9 billion by 2050. How we are going to feed them will be the challenge of the century. More people will deplete the land masses and wildlife will become more threatened and extinct. The whole ecosystem will be under threat, and with global warming too, population pressure will damage the planet. Nobody wants to face this problem. Our economy drives growth too! We need to have a zero population policy, world-wide.
written by
Riskable , April 02, 2008
Vivienne, I don't think we need to worry about feeding 9 billion people. After the peak oil collapse the world's population will significantly decrease. I'd be more worried about how we're going to support a population of 6.5 billion.
I'm only 29 but I fear that due to lack of food, energy, and the possibility of anarchy/political turmoil (in the US) I may not live past 40. The question remains: Even if I do live past 40 will we still be a capitalistic democracy or will we fall completely into fascism? Will the West wage war for precious resources or will we simply "deal with it" and attempt to peacefully develop healthy and sustainable standard of living based on the resources we *do* have? -Riskable http://riskable.com "The last voice heard before the collapse of the U.S. economy will be from an expert exclaiming, 'There's still hundreds of billions of barrels of oil in the ground!'" This content has been locked. You can no longer post any comment.
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